Centre for Computational Finance and Economic Agents Working Paper Series Wp015-07 Computational Intelligence Determines Effective Rationality Computational Intelligence Determines Effective Rationality Ccfea Working Paper Wp015-07

Rationality is a fundamental concept in economics. Most researchers will accept that human beings are not fully rational. Herbert Simon suggested that we are “bounded rational”. However, it is very difficult to quantify “bounded rationality”, and therefore it is difficult to pinpoint its impact to all those economic theories that depend on the assumption of full rationality. Ariel Rubinstein proposed to model bounded rationality by explicitly specifying the decision makers’ decision making procedures. This paper takes a computational point of view to Rubinstein’s approach. From a computational point of view, decision procedures can be encoded in algorithms and heuristics. We argue that, everything else being equal, the effective rationality of an agent is determined by its computational power – we refer to this as the CIDER Theory (short for the title of this paper). This is not an attempt to propose a unifying definition of bounded rationality. It is merely a proposal of a computational point of view of bounded rationality. This way of interpreting bounded rationality enables us to (computationally) reason about economic systems when the full rationality assumption is relaxed.